Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 101.270920 111.902770 122.826865 134.866928 147.741168 161.071886 175.895365
2024-12-29 86.268675 102.116906 119.186582 138.840628 160.746205 184.313934 211.488070
2025-01-05 76.127639 94.774047 115.551593 140.218444 168.498979 199.709379 236.552488
2025-01-12 68.115213 88.633216 112.178475 140.864642 174.532906 212.466586 258.097864
2025-01-19 59.664934 81.040417 106.270710 137.766922 175.540883 218.908042 271.962542
2025-01-26 56.349634 79.254486 106.909810 142.103701 185.028304 235.025214 296.978134
2025-02-02 52.809007 76.824074 106.456579 144.857303 192.432622 248.587908 318.988610
2025-02-09 48.965857 73.669212 104.811562 145.887677 197.549085 259.302404 337.576677
2025-02-16 47.084858 72.905518 106.053313 150.424886 206.929695 275.174938 362.453806
2025-02-23 44.329596 70.747497 105.311242 152.287612 212.873511 286.817277 382.235512
2025-03-02 40.356647 66.634461 101.748781 150.278315 213.736762 292.064082 394.112302
2025-03-09 37.411925 63.756898 99.652804 150.022633 216.709707 299.853019 409.098197
2025-03-16 34.673421 61.057429 97.731844 149.993084 220.050374 308.272160 425.164884
2025-03-23 33.618163 60.772495 99.121222 154.433232 229.300890 324.309762 451.006628
2025-03-30 31.716755 59.072936 98.405058 155.906984 234.577069 335.261216 470.473008
2025-04-06 29.739398 57.115371 97.200724 156.606254 238.753972 344.775380 488.143482
2025-04-13 26.778516 53.395724 93.241356 153.260121 237.313041 346.869045 496.219092
2025-04-20 26.235318 53.531532 94.947046 157.944066 246.836429 363.379541 523.013169
2025-04-27 25.277714 52.915932 95.478062 160.916544 254.014981 376.846671 545.959440
2025-05-04 23.916337 51.529593 94.764287 162.028518 258.589922 386.872152 564.475845
2025-05-11 23.556222 51.828868 96.629418 166.923148 268.481799 404.062863 592.510127
2025-05-18 22.540995 50.918146 96.561191 168.931731 274.317243 415.849694 613.512921
2025-05-25 20.663651 48.346410 93.761315 166.765079 274.164817 419.518203 623.770176